The Bradley Factor and The Presidential Election

Author and political expert Nick Ragone will be in house to talk about the Bradley Factor and explain what roll will race play once the curtain closes in the voting booth.

Named after popular Los Angeles Mayor Tom Bradley, an African-American who was running against the incumbent George Deukmejian in the 1982 California gubernatorial election. Bradley was the favorite to win the election in the polls, but Deukmenjian won by a narrow margin. The Bradley Factor refers to voters saying one thing to pollsters, but doing something completely different in the polls.

Although Senator Barack Obama is leading by double digits in the polls, if there is a Bradley Factor, he may end up losing -- or winning -- by a narrow margin.

However, Ragone says that with only two weeks left before the presidential election, Senator John McCain will need an October surprise, like a Rev. Wright situation, to help him tip the scales and win.

WATCH THE INTERVIEW AFTER THE JUMP...